MasTec: Still My Number One Pick

Summary

  • MasTec is a diversified infrastructure construction company — Communications, Oil and Gas, Power Generation, and Electrical Transmission.
  • Their customers have giant CapEx spends built in through 2021 and maybe longer.
  • They are perfectly positioned to take a big slice of this pie. Management proves their execution chops every quarter.
  • The stock has run up 42% since my first recommendation, but I believe we are just at the beginning, and there is plenty of runway.

Is it weird that I think of an infrastructure construction company every time I hear this Boogie Down Productions classic?

Making Me Look Smarter Than I Am

The very first stock I wrote about here at Seeking Alpha, back last October, was MasTec (MTZ). They are making me look much smarter than I am.

MasTec has been my number one pick for 2019 and 2020 since last autumn, and that has not changed.

The elevator pitch:

  • Diversified infrastructure construction: shale oil/gas; 5G/fiber rollouts; wind/solar construction.
  • Their customers in these industries have huge CapEx spends this year, and probably through to 2021 if not longer.
  • Management is executing, with no signs of stopping.
  • They keep curb-stomping expectations, including my own.

So, for Q2, they are guiding to $1.8 billion in revenue and $1.11 EPS. My math gets to $1.14. My guess is they demolish both those numbers. Standard disclaimer: Only time will tell!

- Me, three months ago

Time did tell: $1.60. Also, not the first time:

Zacks. It should no longer be a "surprise".

I used to recommend waiting for a dip on MasTec, as they were frequent, deep and temporary, cued by a smaller dip in the market. But I'm not so sure anymore. MasTec just wants to go up now.

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